- After two of the most volatile years in real estate, triggered by the global pandemic that was COVID-19, sales numbers are returning to pre-pandemic levels. Sales prices are not.
- This is the big theme and it is worth taking a moment to better understand……. The Number of Units sold in 2022 was half of 2021!!……. BUT Prices went UP? This was driven by a severe lack of Supply. (Park City Inventory is -40% below AVG Levels & Deer Valley Inventory is -60% below AVG Levels!!) Even though the number of Buyer’s went down there was still more Demand than Supply thus competition for well-priced real estate which creates stable pricing.
- Prices increases are starting to level off – Within Park City limits, sale prices jumped 35% during 2021. In 2022 they continued to increase, but at half that annual rate.
- Will Supply increase beyond demand and cause prices to go Down? We do not think so because (1) Owners are enjoying low-interest rates that they don’t want to give up, (2) Owner’s have strong levels of equity and would need to use all of that equity to upgrade, and (3) Most of our 2nd Homeowner’s in Deer Valley & Park City can wait out markets and refuse to sell low. Therefore, if Buyer’s find something that fits their needs and is priced right they should buy it. It is a fool's game to wait for prices to drop.
- Single Family Homes Summary - Sales units across the primary market area (Summit & Wasatch counties) dropped 29%. A 3% rise in median sales price to $1.6M was not enough to offset the volume drop. Total sales volume declined 27% from the prior year. Prediction is that Sales prices will remain stable because of the lack of supply coupled with the increased cost to build new homes.
- Condominium Summary - The condominium market across the entire Wasatch Back continued to report even more and larger median price increases than did the single-family market. Every major area across the region reported increases of 15% or more with the overall average increasing by 35%. Prediction is that prices will continue to Increase in A+ locations like Deer Valley, Old Town, and Canyons Village.
- Land Summary - After the explosive growth we saw in 2020 (up 158% in sales volume) and 2021 (up 73%) this past year land sales slowed with overall volume dropping 41% in the primary market area. Every major area showed drops in units sold. Total sales volume dropped in all areas except Wanship/Hoytsville. Prediction is that Land values will drop significantly (10-20%) in the Private Club sector over the next 24 months because (1) Families thought they were going to move here during the Pandemic and that ’need’ is subsiding therefore they will cash out of land and possibly pursue something smaller like a Condo (2) Cost to Build and Time to Build is more than most Families thought and (3) Much of the land was purchased during the stock market run-up in 2021 and those buyers were not end users but investors. All of these forces will increase supply and cause Sellers to compete for limited Buyers.
Email: [email protected]